Category: Dow Theory

U.S. bonds are in a new primary bull market

posted on: December 29, 2023

This post was challenging to compose. Occasionally, trends don’t conform to a textbook pattern, requiring additional interpretation grounded in sound principles. It won’t be an easy read, but sometimes, sound analysis cannot be compressed into a couple of lines. General Remarks: In this post, I thoroughly explained the rationale behind using two alternative definitions to […]

Primary bull market for SIL and GDX signaled on 12/27/23

posted on: December 28, 2023

The table below summarizes the current state of the trend for the precious metals and their ETF miners. There’s a buzz in the air about the USD. Precious metals making notable strides, the Swiss Franc following suit, and both stocks and crypto appear overextended but with a clear eagerness to climb further. General Remarks: In […]

Setup for a potential primary bull market in SIL and GDX completed on 12/11/23

posted on: December 12, 2023

General Remarks: In this post, I thoroughly explained the rationale behind using two alternative definitions to appraise secondary reactions. GOLD AND SILVER MINERS ETFs A) Market situation if one appraises secondary reactions not bound by the three weeks dogma. The primary trend for GDX and SIL turned bearish on 6/20/23. You may find an in-depth […]

Dow Theory Update for November 30: Secondary reaction for SIL and GDX signaled on 11/28/23

posted on: November 30, 2023

General Remarks: In this post, I thoroughly explained the rationale behind using two alternative definitions to appraise secondary reactions. GOLD AND SILVER MINERS ETFs (GDX & SIL) A) Market situation if one appraises secondary reactions not bound by the three weeks dogma. The primary trend for GDX and SIL turned bearish on 6/20/23. You may […]

Primary bull market for gold and silver signaled on 11/27/23

posted on: November 27, 2023

General Remarks: In this post, I thoroughly explained the rationale behind using two alternative definitions to appraise secondary reactions. GOLD AND SILVER A) Market situation if one appraises secondary reactions not bound by the three weeks dogma. I explained HERE that gold and silver have been in a primary bear market since 6/21/23. Following a […]

Dow Theory Update for November 18: U.S. bonds under a secondary reaction against the still-existing bearish trend.

posted on: November 18, 2023

General Remarks: In this post, I thoroughly explained the rationale behind using two alternative definitions to appraise secondary reactions. TLT is the iShares 20 years + Treasury bond ETF. More about it here IEF is the iShares 7-10 years Treasury bond ETF. More about it here. Thus, TLT tracks longer-term US bonds, whereas IEF tracks […]

Bull or Bear? Unveiling the Current State of Silver with YouTuber Alessio Rastani

posted on: November 13, 2023

In our latest episode, Alessio Rastani and I discuss the current state of the silver market. After rallying from its October lows, silver has experienced a recent pullback, prompting us to analyze whether the silver chart is currently exhibiting bullish or bearish signals. To watch the video, click on the image below.

Decoding Bitcoin’s Path: A Rule of 7 Exploration with Alessio Rastani

posted on: November 9, 2023

Join me in a candid Bitcoin discussion with Alessio Rastani. We explore future price objectives using the Rule of 7 and delve into when market corrections might occur. Check out the full interview by clicking the image below for insightful analysis.

Dow Theory Update for November 11: Setup for a potential Bull market for SLV & GLD completed on November 8

posted on: November 9, 2023

Exploring Market Headwinds and Future Scenarios with Alessio Rastani

posted on: November 6, 2023

Navigating Stock Market Challenges: Insights from a Recent YouTube Interview I want to thank Alessio Rastani for having me on his YouTube channel. It was a fantastic experience talking about the current state of the stock market. We covered the two significant challenges that could potentially keep the S&P500 from hitting all-time highs in the […]

Dow Theory Analysis Featured in ‘Markets Insider’: Implications of Recent SELL Signal

posted on: October 23, 2023

I thank Matthew Fox for quoting my Dow Theory analysis in “Markets Insider”. As stated in Matthew’s article, on 10/23/2023, the Dow Industrials broke down below its 10/3/23 closing lows, triggering a SELL signal. The table below shows the most relevant price action that led to the 10/23/23 Sell signal. Historical data from 1953 reveals […]

Bonds in Crisis: Discovering Dow Theory’s Healing Touch

posted on: October 12, 2023

Dow Theory’s Prescription for the Bond Debacle Dilemma Due to the surge in interest rates, long-duration bonds have experienced a significant loss of value, amounting to a 50% drawdown. This substantial decline in the so-called safe haven asset class resembles the drawdowns seen in stock indexes, underscoring the fact that unexpected events occur. Investors sometimes […]