Category: Insights

Dow Theory Update for November 28th: Primary bear market for Gold and Silver signalled on November 27th

posted on: November 28, 2020

I don’t have much time to write, as I’m busy with the drafting of our monthly Letter to our Subscribers at thedowtheory.com GOLD AND SILVER Introductory note: In this post, I wrote a thorough explanation concerning the rationale behind my use of two alternative definitions in order to appraise secondary reactions. […]

Dow Theory Update for November 23th: Primary bear market for SIL and GDX signaled on 11/23/2020

posted on: November 23, 2020

Gold and Silver (GLD and SLV) remain in a primary bull market As a reminder of why I use two alternative definitions of a secondary reaction, please read here. GOLD AND SILVER MINERS ETFs A) Market situation if one is to appraise secondary reactions not bound by the 3 weeks dogma. One […]

Dow Theory Update for November 6th: Primary bull market in US stocks still in force

posted on: November 6, 2020

Trends unchanged for precious metals, miners and US interest rates Today let’s take a look at the US stock market. It was overdue. Primary and secondary trends remain unchanged for gold and silver, their ETF stock miners and US interest rates. You can read the latest report concerning these markets here, here and […]

Dow Theory Update for October 8th: Dissecting the current secondary reaction in SIL and GDX (silver and gold miners ETFs)

posted on: October 8, 2020

General remarks: Well, let’s try to write the promised post concerning the ongoing secondary reaction in SIL and GDX. As I wrote here, the secondary trend for precious metals had changed on September 23rd, 2020. Now it is bearish (secondary reaction against the primary bull market). In this post, I provided […]

Dow Theory Update for October 6th: Primary bear market for US bonds signaled on October 5th

posted on: October 6, 2020

The primary trend remains bullish when one appraises the trend of US bonds with a somewhat longer time-frame. I still owe the readers of this Dow Theory blog the promised in-depth explanation of the current secondary reaction in SIL and GDX (the gold and silver miners ETFs). However, Dow Theory’s relevant events pile […]

Dow Theory Update for October 5: Dissecting the current secondary reaction in gold and silver

posted on: October 5, 2020

Explanation for SIL and GDX coming soon As I wrote here, the secondary trend for precious metals had changed on September 23rd, 2020. I promised a more in-depth post. Today, I’ll address gold and silver. Hopefully, next week, I’ll write about SIL and GDX, the gold and silver miners ETFs. Please mind […]

Dow Theory Update for October 2: Why I favor using two alternative ways of appraising secondary reactions?

posted on: October 2, 2020

In-depth explanation about the current secondary reaction in precious metals coming soon In my last post, I summarily informed that the secondary trend for precious metals had turned bearish. However, I didn’t provide accurate calculations nor any charts. Since the appraisal of secondary reaction is vital for Dow Theorists, as we derive […]

Dow Theory Update for September 25: Precious metals under secondary reaction against the primary bull market

posted on: September 25, 2020

Trends unchanged for TLT and IEF I don’t have much time to blog. Hopefully, by the end of next week I’ll be able to post some charts and provide you with more in-depth explanations. US STOCKS Schannep’s Dow Theory (more properly: The Dow Theory for the 21stCentury) At 09/14/2020, the primary trend […]

Dow Theory Update for September 11: Long term bullishness remains while short term there is some stalling.

posted on: September 11, 2020

Precious metals could be nearing a secondary reaction. Not there yet. US STOCKS Schannep’s Dow Theory (more properly: The Dow Theory for the 21stCentury) At 09/02/2020, the primary trend was bullish since April 6th, 2020, as was explained here. The April 6th, 2020 Buy signal (caused by a Bull market […]

Dow Theory Update for September 2nd: US bonds are in a secondary reaction when one takes a somewhat shorter time frame.

posted on: September 2, 2020

No secondary reaction when one is bound by the 1/3 confirmed retracement dogma This post is being penned on Saturday, August 29th, but will likely be posted on Wednesday 9/2/2020. I am looking at the charts today, and I see now changes in my analysis of trends. Today I’ll focus on US […]

Dow Theory Update for August 24: Primary bull market in US bonds reconfirmed

posted on: August 24, 2020

Primary and secondary trend for precious metals and their ETF miners remain bullish General remarks There is bullishness everywhere. US stocks, US bonds, and precious metals are all undergoing solid primary bull markets. Of course, trends can reverse. However, as of this writing, there are no secondary reactions in sight. It feels […]

Dow Theory Update for August 10th: Divergence and the Dow Theory

posted on: August 10, 2020

Case in point: Precious metals right now Caveat: I’m publishing this post before the close, so things might change. The Dow Theory has it that higher highs (lows) unconfirmed have no validity in signalling changes of trends. We also now that the principle of confirmation has more validity the longer the time frame. Thus, […]