Category: Dow Theory and bonds

Dow Theory Update for September 13: U.S. bonds flirting with a primary bear market signal

posted on: September 13, 2022

But not there yet! General Remarks: In this post, I provided a thorough explanation concerning the rationale behind my use of two alternative definitions to appraise secondary reactions. TLT is the iShares 20 years + Treasury bond ETF. More about it here IEF is the iShares 7-10 years Treasury bond ETF. More about it here. […]

Dow Theory Update for August 26: U.S. bonds under a secondary reaction against the primary bull market

posted on: August 26, 2022

I am posting before the close. So things might change after the close. So readers beware. US INTEREST RATES General Remarks: In this post, I provided a thorough explanation concerning the rationale behind my use of two alternative definitions to appraise secondary reactions. TLT is the iShares 20 years + Treasury bond ETF. More about […]

Dow Theory Update for August 15: Update on the trend for U.S. bonds on Alessio Rastani YouTube channel

posted on: August 15, 2022

Famed Youtuber and successful trader Alessio Rastani and I have been discussing the current trend for U.S. bonds and its implications for the economy. Click on the link below to see the interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ey0SPpb6BXk&t=2s And to see our past interview on gold: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pG7j0aXlXx8&t=3s I highly recommend Alessio’s channel. It is loaded with great, enjoyable, and […]

Dow Theory Update for July 23: Primary bull market in U.S. bonds signaled on 7/22/22

posted on: July 23, 2022

The primary & secondary trend for precious metals remains bearish US INTEREST RATES General Remarks: In this post, I provided a thorough explanation concerning the rationale behind my use of two alternative definitions to appraise secondary reactions. TLT is the iShares 20 years + Treasury bond ETF. More about it here IEF is […]

Dow Theory Update for July 15: Setup for a potential primary bull market in U.S. bonds completed on 7/8/2022

posted on: July 15, 2022

All trends for precious metals & their ETF miners remain solidly bearish I am writing before today’s close, so things might change. Readers beware. US INTEREST RATES General Remarks: In this post, I provided a thorough explanation concerning the rationale behind my use of two alternative definitions to appraise secondary reactions. TLT is the iShares […]

Dow Theory Update for July 6: U.S. bonds are in a secondary reaction against the bear market

posted on: July 6, 2022

Are bonds signaling an impending recession? I am writing before today’s close, so things might change. Readers beware. US INTEREST RATES General Remarks: In this post, I provided a thorough explanation concerning the rationale behind my use of two alternative definitions to appraise secondary reactions. TLT is the iShares 20 years + Treasury bond […]

Dow Theory Update for June 15: Primary bear market for U.S. bonds reconfirmed on 6/13/22

posted on: June 15, 2022

Later today or tomorrow follows an update for precious metals and their ETF miners US INTEREST RATES General Remarks: In this post, I provided a thorough explanation concerning the rationale behind my use of two alternative definitions to appraise secondary reactions. TLT is the iShares 20 years + Treasury bond ETF. More about it here […]

Dow Theory Update for June 6: Setup for a potential primary bull market in U.S. bonds completed

posted on: June 6, 2022

Update on the trends for precious metals. US INTEREST RATES General Remarks: In this post, I provided a thorough explanation concerning the rationale behind my use of two alternative definitions to appraise secondary reactions. TLT is the iShares 20 years + Treasury bond ETF. More about it here IEF is […]

Dow Theory Update for May 27: Finally, a secondary (bullish) reaction has been signaled for US bonds

posted on: May 27, 2022

The primary trend remains bearish, though It has been a long time without providing an update concerning US bonds. In fact, it was not necessary as the trend has been “down” for many months now, so no changes occurred. I am writing before the close, so things might change. US INTEREST RATES […]

Dow Theory Update for May 13: All investing strategies need protection against bear markets. Three examples. Make no mistake about it.

posted on: May 13, 2022

A brief update on the trends for U.S.U.S. stocks, U.S. Bonds, and precious metals & their miners’ ETFs. The primary trends for gold & silver, SIL & GDX, and U.S. bond markets have not changed since I last reported. What is new since my last reporting is a nasty secondary reaction against the […]

Dow Theory Update for April 26: Shorting US bonds with the Dow Theory. Does it work?

posted on: April 26, 2022

Answer: Yes! Readers of this blog should know by now that the Dow Theory works. The measure of “working” is twofold: (a) drawdown reduction and (b) outperformance versus Buy & Hold (B&H). I recently explored the “long side” of the Dow Theory with US bonds (ETFs: TLT & EDV). The results were outstanding, as you […]

Dow Theory Update: Does the Dow Theory work when applied to US bonds? (III)

posted on: March 22, 2022

Comparisons between the Dow Theory, a moving average system and Buy and Hold In the previous two posts of this saga, we saw that both TLT and EDV vastly outperformed B&H while dramatically cutting drawdowns. http://www.dowtheoryinvestment.com/2022/02/dow-theory-update-for-february-16-does.html http://www.dowtheoryinvestment.com/2022/03/dow-theory-update-does-dow-theory-work.html Inquisitive minds could think that, after all, the period examined was overall bullish and that any […]