Category: Dow Theory and bonds
Dow Theory Update: Does the Dow Theory work when applied to US bonds? (II)
posted on: March 7, 2022
Performance with extended duration bonds (EDV) In the previous post, I proved that the Dow Theory works well with US Bonds. We determined the trend by using TLT and IEF and applying the trend so appraised to TLT which corresponds to US bonds with remaining maturities greater than 20 years. Today we are […]
Dow Theory Update for February 16: Does the Dow Theory work when applied to US bonds? (I)
posted on: February 16, 2022
Answer: YES! This is a long post that took a good deal of research. If you want to become convinced about the Dow Theory being arguably the best timing system for trades lasting more than six months, continue reading. Dow Theorist Hamilton stated that the Dow Theory could be applied to other markets. However, he […]
Dow Theory Update for January 10: Primary bear market for US bonds signaled on 1/5/22
posted on: January 10, 2022
US INTEREST RATES General Remarks: In this post, I provided a thorough explanation concerning the rationale behind my use of two alternative definitions to appraise secondary reactions. TLT is the iShares 20 years + Treasury bond ETF. More about it here IEF is the iShares 7-10 years Treasury bond ETF. More about […]
Dow Theory Update for January 8: Setup for a potential primary bear market in precious metals completed
posted on: January 8, 2022
Primary trend for US interest rates bearish GOLD AND SILVER In this post, I provided a thorough explanation concerning the rationale behind my use of two alternative definitions to appraise secondary reactions. A) Market situation if one appraises secondary reactions not bound by the three weeks dogma. The primary trend […]
Dow Theory Update for December 3rd: Primary bull market for US Bonds signaled on November 30
posted on: December 3, 2021
Despite the current pullback precious metals and their miners continue in a primary bull market Sorry for the delay in posting. I was immersed in the drafting of our December 1st Letter to Subscribers. Now, little by little, I begin to catch up. I don’t have time today to write about precious metals. The current […]
Dow Theory Update for November 16: Recap of the Dow Theory outperformance across many markets
posted on: November 16, 2021
GLD/SLV, GDX/SIL, USO/XLE, TLT, and the Dow Industrials Is the Dow Theory only for US stock indexes? Does it work? Is it not a thing of the past? The Dow Theory works and outperformed Buy & Hold across many markets (energy, precious metals, and their ETF miners, US bonds, US stock indexes). Look at the […]
Dow Theory Update for October 21: Secondary reaction against the primary bear market in precious metals and their ETF miners
posted on: October 21, 2021
Primary trend for US bonds bearish when one appraises the trend with a longer-term view I am writing before the close, so things might change. Readers beware. GOLD AND SILVER In this post, I provided a thorough explanation concerning the rationale behind my use of two alternative definitions to appraise secondary reactions. A) […]
Dow Theory Update for October 11: Primary bear market for US bonds signaled on 9/28 when one takes a shorter-term view
posted on: October 11, 2021
US bonds are reaching a critical level when one appraises the secular trend with weekly bars US INTEREST RATES General Remarks: In this post, I provided a thorough explanation concerning the rationale behind my use of two alternative definitions to appraise secondary reactions. TLT is the iShares 20 years + […]
Dow Theory Update for September 29th: Primary bear market signaled on 9/28/21 for US bonds
posted on: September 29, 2021
Primary bear market in precious metals reconfirmed for GLD and SLV In the next few days, I plan to write an in-depth post concerning US bonds. For now, it suffices to say that on 9/28/2021, a primary bear market was signaled when one appraises secondary reactions not bound by the three weeks dogma. When […]
Dow Theory Update for September 23: Primary bear market for GLD and SLV reconfirmed when one takes the longer-term view
posted on: September 23, 2021
Trends for SIL & GDX unchanged. GOLD AND SILVER MINERS ETFs A) Market situation if one appraises secondary reactions not bound by the three weeks dogma. GOLD AND SILVER MINERS ETFs A) Market situation if one appraises secondary reactions not bound by the three weeks dogma. The primary trend was signaled […]
Dow Theory Update for August 4: Setup for a potential bear market signal in GDX and SIL completed
posted on: August 4, 2021
Primary trends remain bullish in precious metals and their ETF miners. GOLD AND SILVER A) Market situation if one is to appraise secondary reactions not bound by the three weeks dogma. While it’s subject to interpretation, I explained why I consider the primary trend bullish since 4/21/2021 here. The secondary trend […]
Dow Theory Update for June 9th: Primary bull market in US bonds signaled on 6/8/2021
posted on: June 9, 2021
Bull market in precious metals and their miners continues in good health US INTEREST RATES General Remarks: In this post, I provided a thorough explanation concerning the rationale behind my use of two alternative definitions to appraise secondary reactions. TLT is the iShares 20 years + Treasury bond ETF. More […]
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