Category: Dow Theory and bonds

Dow Theory Update for April 16: Secondary (bullish) reaction against the primary bear market for SIL/ GDX and TLT/IEF

posted on: April 16, 2021

US stock indexes remain bullish GOLD AND SILVER I refer to my last post, as the technical situation for gold and silver has not changed. http://www.dowtheoryinvestment.com/2021/04/dow-theory-update-for-april-5-minor-non.html GOLD AND SILVER MINERS ETFs A) Market situation if one is to appraise secondary reactions not bound by the three weeks dogma. The primary […]

Dow Theory Update for April 1st: Clouds gather on the horizon for US stocks

posted on: April 1, 2021

A line formed in SLV and GLD, and primary bear market reconfirmed for SIL and GDX US STOCKS Schannep’s Dow Theory (more properly: The Dow Theory for the 21stCentury) On 3/16/2021, the primary trend was bullish since April 6th, 2020, as was explained here. So the primary bull market signal is nearing […]

Dow Theory Update for March 6th: news on the Dow Theory applied to US bonds

posted on: March 6, 2021

Trends for precious metals and US stocks unchanged Time is in very short supply. So I cut to the chase. US STOCKS Schannep’s Dow Theory (more properly: The Dow Theory for the 21stCentury) On 2/28/2020, the primary trend was bullish since April 6th, 2020, as was explained here. The secondary trend is […]

Dow Theory Update for February 9th: Bear market in US bonds continues unabated

posted on: February 9, 2021

Precious metals unchanged Since I am writing before the close, things might change. So readers beware. US STOCKS Schannep’s Dow Theory (more properly: The Dow Theory for the 21stCentury) On 1/31/2020, the primary trend was bullish since April 6th, 2020, as was explained here. The secondary trend is bullish since 11/13/2020 (successful termination […]

Dow Theory Update for January 30th: Precious metals and US bonds could be nearing a confirmation of their primary bear markets

posted on: January 30, 2021

Bearishness seems quite entrenched I’m tight on time, so I’m going to cut to the chase. So please bear with any typos or defective English. No much time for editing. But what really counts is the message and being on the right side of the market more often than not. US STOCKS Schannep’s […]

Dow Theory Update for January 8th: Primary bear market for US bonds signaled on January 6th when one takes the long-term interpretation of the Dow Theory

posted on: January 8, 2021

Trends in precious metals unchanged US INTEREST RATES General Remarks: In this post, I provided a thorough explanation concerning the rationale behind my use of two alternative definitions in order to appraise secondary reactions. TLT is the iShares 20 years + Treasury bond ETF. More about it here IEF is the iShares […]

Dow Theory Update for December 18: Secondary trend for US bonds bearish when taking a longer time-frame

posted on: December 18, 2020

Primary trend unchanged for precious metals, their ETF miners, and US stocks. Today we focus on US Bonds. I am writing before the close, so things might change. Readers beware. Given that the primary trend has not changed for precious metals, their miners ETFs, and US stocks, please go to the following […]

Dow Theory Update for October 6th: Primary bear market for US bonds signaled on October 5th

posted on: October 6, 2020

The primary trend remains bullish when one appraises the trend of US bonds with a somewhat longer time-frame. I still owe the readers of this Dow Theory blog the promised in-depth explanation of the current secondary reaction in SIL and GDX (the gold and silver miners ETFs). However, Dow Theory’s relevant events pile […]

Dow Theory Update for September 11: Long term bullishness remains while short term there is some stalling.

posted on: September 11, 2020

Precious metals could be nearing a secondary reaction. Not there yet. US STOCKS Schannep’s Dow Theory (more properly: The Dow Theory for the 21stCentury) At 09/02/2020, the primary trend was bullish since April 6th, 2020, as was explained here. The April 6th, 2020 Buy signal (caused by a Bull market […]

Dow Theory Update for September 2nd: US bonds are in a secondary reaction when one takes a somewhat shorter time frame.

posted on: September 2, 2020

No secondary reaction when one is bound by the 1/3 confirmed retracement dogma This post is being penned on Saturday, August 29th, but will likely be posted on Wednesday 9/2/2020. I am looking at the charts today, and I see now changes in my analysis of trends. Today I’ll focus on US […]

Dow Theory Update for May 15th: Bullishness in Precious Metals

posted on: May 16, 2020

Any way we measure secondary reactions both precious metals and their miners ETFs are in a primary bull market US STOCKS Schannep’s Dow Theory (more properly: The Dow Theory for the 21st Century) At 05/12/2020, the primary and secondary trend was bullish since April 6th, 2020 (bull market definition), as was explained in-depth here “Rhea’s /classical” […]

Dow Theory Update for March 28th: Watch the S&P 500. If it rallied a little bit more a bull market would be signaled

posted on: March 28, 2020

Trends unchanged for all the markets I cover US STOCKS Under Schannep’s Dow Theory The primary trend is bearish since March 9th (penetration of the lows of the current secondary reaction) or even February 25th (alternative exit based on the penetration of the lows of the previously completed secondary reaction), as explained here. Of course, the […]